Why I Believe AGI Is Not Just Around the Corner
This blog post reflects on recent AI interviews and explores why I disagree with overly optimistic predictions about the imminent arrival of Artificial General Intelligence.
Dwarkesh Patel
157.0K views β’ Aug 1, 2025
About this video
I wrote this blog post after some of my recent AI interviews, where I was thinking through why I disagreed with their especially bullish projections. If you want to read the original post, you can check it out here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/timelines-june-2025. And subscribe to my blog if you want to see how I'm personally thinking through the topics I interview people about on the podcast: https://www.dwarkesh.com/
ππππππππππ
00:00:00 Continual Learning
00:08:06 Computer Use
00:11:27 Reasoning
00:12:45 So what are my predictions?
00:16:21 Dwarkesh.com
ππππππππππ
00:00:00 Continual Learning
00:08:06 Computer Use
00:11:27 Reasoning
00:12:45 So what are my predictions?
00:16:21 Dwarkesh.com
Video Information
Views
157.0K
Likes
5.4K
Duration
17:14
Published
Aug 1, 2025
User Reviews
4.7
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