Girona vs Real Oviedo Prediction: Likely 2-0 Victory for Girona ⚽

📊 Probabilities
Outcome Estimated Chance
Girona win ~ 55 %
Draw ~ 30 %
Real Oviedo win ~ 15 %

✅ Key Reasons & Context

Performance & Form

Girona sit in the bottom few of LaLiga this season, with only 1 win, 3 draws and 5 losses from 9 matches. Their goals scored average is just ~0.67 per game, while they’ve conceded ~1.67 at home.
Forebet
FCTables

Real Oviedo, newly promoted, have struggled even more: they’ve scored only ~4 goals in 9 matches and conceded ~16. They average ~0.44 goals scored per match.
Forebet
footballtips.com

Both teams are in poor form, but Real Oviedo seem weaker overall, especially on the road.

Player Turnover & Injuries

Girona have several injury concerns: key players such as Donny van de Beek (long-term) and Thomas Lemar (muscle injury) are unavailable.
transfer-site.co.uk

For Real Oviedo, the transition back to top-flight football means their squad depth is limited and they're adjusting; that increases risk of fatigue mistakes and defensive lapses.
Talksport

Head-to-Head & Home Advantage

In recent direct meetings, Girona have had the edge: in the last 5 or so matches they’ve won ~3 times, drawn ~2 and Real Oviedo haven’t recorded a win.
Transfermarkt

At home, Girona are expected to push for a result given their need to climb the table; Real Oviedo away record is poor and their scoring is minimal.

Expected Match Flow

Girona likely will dominate possession and look to impose themselves early, while Real Oviedo may adopt a defensive shape and attempt counterattacks.

Given Girona’s weak defence, Real Oviedo may get a chance, but given their low scoring ability and Girona’s home push, Girona should secure a solid home win.

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