Why I Believe AGI Is Not Just Around the Corner

I wrote this blog post after some of my recent AI interviews, where I was thinking through why I disagreed with their especially bullish projections. If you want to read the original post, you can check it out here: https://www.dwarkesh.com/p/timelines-june-2025. And subscribe to my blog if you want to see how I'm personally thinking through the topics I interview people about on the podcast: https://www.dwarkesh.com/ 𝐓𝐈𝐌𝐄𝐒𝐓𝐀𝐌𝐏𝐒 00:00:00 Continual Learning 00:08:06 Computer Use 00:11:27 Reasoning 00:12:45 So what are my predictions? 00:16:21 Dwarkesh.com