Mortgage Rates Near 6% โ Will They Rise to 7%? ๐
Mortgage rates around 5.99% may climb to 7% amid Fed meetings, rising oil prices, and geopolitical tensions. What's next for homebuyers?

The Rate Update with Dan Frio
1.7K views โข Mar 16, 2026

About this video
Mortgage rates were near 5.99%โฆ but are they heading back to 7%?
With a Federal Reserve meeting just days away, rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and inflation still above target, the big question is:
๐ What happens to mortgage rates next โ and what should YOU do about it?
In todayโs update, we break down exactly whatโs happening in the markets and how it impacts homebuyers, homeowners, and anyone watching interest rates right now.
๐ What We Cover in This Video:
โข Why mortgage rates moved recently (and why they could move again fast)
โข The impact of oil prices pushing toward $100+
โข How global conflict is affecting the bond market
โข What to expect from the Federal Reserve meeting this week
โข Inflation trends and why the Fed is stuck
โข The 10-Year Treasury and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) breakdown
โข Whether rates could jump from the mid-5% range back toward 7%
โข What this means if you're buying, refinancing, or waiting
๐ก What This Means for YOU:
If you're a:
โข Homebuyer โ Timing matters more than ever
โข Homeowner โ Refinance windows can open and close quickly
โข Investor โ Rate volatility = opportunity (and risk)
The market is noisy right now โ but the data tells the real story.
๐ฏ The Bottom Line:
This week could be a major turning point for mortgage rates.
The Fed decision, inflation data, and global events are all colliding at once โ and thatโs exactly when rates tend to move the most.
๐ The key isnโt guessingโฆ itโs understanding the data and being ready to act.
๐ Start Here
๐ RateWatch 2.1 โ Get Notified When Mortgage Rates or Payments Hit Your Target
๐ https://www.therateupdate.com/rate-watch
๐ Schedule a Free Mortgage Strategy Call
๐ https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05
๐ Apply for a Mortgage โ One Application โข One Credit Pull โข 30+ Lenders
๐ https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register
๐งฎ TRU Mortgage Calculator Toolkit
๐ https://stan.store/TRU-Foundations
Professional-grade calculators used by loan officers and homebuyers:
โข Home Affordability Calculator
โข Refinance & Debt Consolidation Analyzer
โข Cost-of-Waitingโข Calculator
โข Break-Even & ROI Mortgage Calculator
๐ฒ Follow The Rate Update
YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio
Instagram
https://instagram.com/therateupdate
TikTok
https://tiktok.com/@therateupdate
Facebook
https://facebook.com/therateupdate
LinkedIn
https://www.linkedin.com/in/danfrio
โ๏ธ Mortgage Compliance Disclosure
Dan Frio | NMLS #246527
TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp | NMLS #257781
Equal Housing Lender
Content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
โฑ๏ธ Chapters
00:00 โ Mortgage Rates: 5.99% to 7%? Whatโs Happening
00:45 โ Why Rates Moved This Week
02:10 โ Oil Prices Near $100 and Market Impact
03:40 โ Global Conflict and Bond Market Reaction
05:15 โ Federal Reserve Meeting Preview (This Week)
07:30 โ Inflation Still Above Target: What It Means
09:00 โ 10-Year Treasury & MBS Breakdown
11:20 โ Could Mortgage Rates Spike Again?
13:10 โ What Homebuyers Should Do Right Now
15:00 โ What Homeowners & Refinance Watchers Should Know
16:30 โ Final Thoughts: What to Expect This Week
With a Federal Reserve meeting just days away, rising oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and inflation still above target, the big question is:
๐ What happens to mortgage rates next โ and what should YOU do about it?
In todayโs update, we break down exactly whatโs happening in the markets and how it impacts homebuyers, homeowners, and anyone watching interest rates right now.
๐ What We Cover in This Video:
โข Why mortgage rates moved recently (and why they could move again fast)
โข The impact of oil prices pushing toward $100+
โข How global conflict is affecting the bond market
โข What to expect from the Federal Reserve meeting this week
โข Inflation trends and why the Fed is stuck
โข The 10-Year Treasury and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) breakdown
โข Whether rates could jump from the mid-5% range back toward 7%
โข What this means if you're buying, refinancing, or waiting
๐ก What This Means for YOU:
If you're a:
โข Homebuyer โ Timing matters more than ever
โข Homeowner โ Refinance windows can open and close quickly
โข Investor โ Rate volatility = opportunity (and risk)
The market is noisy right now โ but the data tells the real story.
๐ฏ The Bottom Line:
This week could be a major turning point for mortgage rates.
The Fed decision, inflation data, and global events are all colliding at once โ and thatโs exactly when rates tend to move the most.
๐ The key isnโt guessingโฆ itโs understanding the data and being ready to act.
๐ Start Here
๐ RateWatch 2.1 โ Get Notified When Mortgage Rates or Payments Hit Your Target
๐ https://www.therateupdate.com/rate-watch
๐ Schedule a Free Mortgage Strategy Call
๐ https://calendly.com/d/cq29-7xd-x3v/the-frio-team?month=2025-05
๐ Apply for a Mortgage โ One Application โข One Credit Pull โข 30+ Lenders
๐ https://257781.my1003app.com/246527/register
๐งฎ TRU Mortgage Calculator Toolkit
๐ https://stan.store/TRU-Foundations
Professional-grade calculators used by loan officers and homebuyers:
โข Home Affordability Calculator
โข Refinance & Debt Consolidation Analyzer
โข Cost-of-Waitingโข Calculator
โข Break-Even & ROI Mortgage Calculator
๐ฒ Follow The Rate Update
YouTube
https://www.youtube.com/@TheRateUpdatewithDanFrio
https://instagram.com/therateupdate
TikTok
https://tiktok.com/@therateupdate
https://facebook.com/therateupdate
https://www.linkedin.com/in/danfrio
โ๏ธ Mortgage Compliance Disclosure
Dan Frio | NMLS #246527
TRU Mortgage Team / PBT Bancorp | NMLS #257781
Equal Housing Lender
Content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
โฑ๏ธ Chapters
00:00 โ Mortgage Rates: 5.99% to 7%? Whatโs Happening
00:45 โ Why Rates Moved This Week
02:10 โ Oil Prices Near $100 and Market Impact
03:40 โ Global Conflict and Bond Market Reaction
05:15 โ Federal Reserve Meeting Preview (This Week)
07:30 โ Inflation Still Above Target: What It Means
09:00 โ 10-Year Treasury & MBS Breakdown
11:20 โ Could Mortgage Rates Spike Again?
13:10 โ What Homebuyers Should Do Right Now
15:00 โ What Homeowners & Refinance Watchers Should Know
16:30 โ Final Thoughts: What to Expect This Week
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Video Information
Views
1.7K
Likes
34
Duration
21:53
Published
Mar 16, 2026
User Reviews
4.5
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